The Doomsday Calculation: How An Equation That Predicts The Future Is Transforming Everything We Know About Life And The Universe, William Poundstone, c. 2019.

The Doomsday Calculation: How An Equation That Predicts The Future Is Transforming Everything We Know About Life And The Universe, William Poundstone, c. 2019. 519.542POU.

Albert Madansky, RAND, March 11, 1958, Mars Bluff, South Carolina.

General Curtis LeMay, SAC, combination locks and two-person "system."

Maxim of our digital economy: "If you're not paying for it, you're the product."

Thomas Bayes, a nonconformist minister of Tunbridge Wells, England, d. April 17, 1761.

Richard Price found Bayes's manuscript. Price: belonged to this notorious group: Thomas Paine, Thomas Jefferson, Benjamin Franklin, as well as Mary Wollstonecraft (mother of Mary Shelley).

Prior probability: a prior and then adjust it when new data becomes available.

The sonnet "Ozymandias" (1818) by Romantic poet Percy Bysshe Shelley, husband of Mary Shelley, daughter of Mary Wollstonecraft, friend of minister Richard Price.

1969: J Richard Gott III predicted when the Berlin Wall would fall. 

Copernican method: "the delta t argument" -- delta t -- change in time argument.

The Copernican principle is generally applied to an observer's location in space, but the delta t argument applies it to an observer's location in time.